Tokyo Tightens, Washington Pauses

BoJ heads toward 1.0% with JGB yields at 29-year highs, Warsh chairs his first FOMC the same week, and Iran’s June 7-8 strike exchange flips the Hormuz…

Jun 17 • Gatherthink

Iran Walks, June Closes In

Iran halts US ceasefire talks and pledges to “completely” close the Strait, WTI snaps +5.3% in a session, and a stacked BOJ–Fed mid-June window now…

Jun 8 • Gatherthink

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The Other Trade War

USMCA’s first negotiating round opened today with talks described as contentious — 33 days from a treaty sunset decision; Section 232 tariffs on copper…

Jun 1 • Gatherthink

May 2026

Three Strikes, One Direction

April CPI crossed the trigger. Warsh took the chair. Iran rejected the deal. The base scenario is no longer a forecast — it’s the environment.

May 18 • Gatherthink

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Gatherthink Signals — Risk & Markets Weekly

Geopolitical risk, macro signals, and market transmission — structured, scored, and scenario-mapped.

May 11 • Gatherthink

Introducing Gatherthink Signals

A new weekly series that applies mental models, AI-assisted research, scenario analysis, probability estimates, and calibration tracking to…

May 11 • Gatherthink

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September 2024

The Power of Assumptions

Navigating Uncertainty in Decision-Making

Sep 17, 2024 • Gatherthink

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August 2024

Creating a Document Corpus for AI

A guide for building a City government document corpus

Aug 13, 2024 • Gatherthink

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July 2024

Creating Your Own Mental Models

A Guide to Personal Mental Model Framework Development

Jul 23, 2024 • Gatherthink

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June 2024

A New Way to Learn

Creating highly personalized learning experiences with AI

Jun 25, 2024 • Gatherthink

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May 2024

Finding a problem to solve

A framework to find your passion project

May 21, 2024 • Gatherthink

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Finding Your Ikigai

A scoring system to choose your passion project

May 15, 2024 • Gatherthink

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