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Three Strikes, One Direction
April CPI crossed the trigger. Warsh took the chair. Iran rejected the deal. The base scenario is no longer a forecast — it’s the environment.
May 18
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Gatherthink Signals — Risk & Markets Weekly
Geopolitical risk, macro signals, and market transmission — structured, scored, and scenario-mapped.
May 11
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Gatherthink
Introducing Gatherthink Signals
A new weekly series that applies mental models, AI-assisted research, scenario analysis, probability estimates, and calibration tracking to…
May 11
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September 2024
The Power of Assumptions
Navigating Uncertainty in Decision-Making
Sep 17, 2024
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August 2024
Creating a Document Corpus for AI
A guide for building a City government document corpus
Aug 13, 2024
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July 2024
Creating Your Own Mental Models
A Guide to Personal Mental Model Framework Development
Jul 23, 2024
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June 2024
A New Way to Learn
Creating highly personalized learning experiences with AI
Jun 25, 2024
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May 2024
Finding a problem to solve
A framework to find your passion project
May 21, 2024
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Finding Your Ikigai
A scoring system to choose your passion project
May 15, 2024
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April 2024
The Surprising Reason You Should Think Twice Before Changing Anything
Chesterton's Fence: A Powerful Principle for Thoughtful Change. Before rushing in to dismantle what we perceive to be outdated or inefficient, it is…
Apr 17, 2024
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An Introduction to Mental Models
Mental models are frameworks, concepts, and heuristics that help us make sense of the world and make better decisions.
Apr 8, 2024
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Supercharge your decision making
Add the Pugh Matrix to your decision making toolkit to make better decisions.
Apr 2, 2024
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