當患上這個疾病的時候很多人可能會首先想到「犀利士」,可是很多沒嘗試過的人想了解真實使用者的感受。
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How to prioritize your work to focus on what really matters. By measuring impact and effort we can determine where to spend our time...
A decision maker assigns decision weights to stated probabilities through a weighting function, whereas “the decision weights are not probabilities” in that “they do...
Mathematics Single Variable Calculus (prerequisite: Algebra and Trigonometry) 101 Multi Variable Calculus 101 Linear Algebra 201 Differential Equations 201 Statistics 301 Probability 301 Computer...
A corrective procedure for prediction This is the process by Kahneman and Teversky for the Elicitation and correction of intuitive predictions. Intuitive predictions do...
Use the Brier Score to measure your forecasting ability. Scores range from 0 to 1, the lower your score the more accurate your predictions...